The market is so efficient and forward-looking now, it seems that thinking one or two steps ahead isn’t enough anymore. Everyone wants to be the first to anticipate what they think will happen in 2024, even if there’s no clear assurance that it actually will come to pass.
This is what happens when legions of retail investors have easy access to stock trading on their smartphones and when institutional investors use algorithms to place trades in the blink of an eye. Markets can become distorted and dislocated, and the market construes the Federal Reserve’s nebulous messages as entirely bullish or bearish, irrespective of what was actually said.
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