How To Predict The Next Recession – And Why It May Still Happen Sooner Than That

When it comes to identifying when the next recession will take place, the author of today’s article acknowledges that equity markets have not, historically, produced reliable signals. As such, he advocates using “three other indicators that have shown impressive power in predicting recessions. When these indicators simultaneously show stress, they signaled the last seven recessions with an average lead time of five to six months. They seek to integrate the interplay of the business cycle, market dynamics and monetary policy.” For these three signals, what they indicate about when the next recession might hit – and why the next recession could still happen before that – CLICK HERE.